A political motivated terrorist attack (committed with the intent to change public policy) will occur in 2013 in the United States, causing at least 3 deaths.

Created by Tuxedage on 2013-01-01; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-12-31.

• Tuxedage estimated 11% on 2013-01-01
• Qiaochu estimated 10% on 2013-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “What work is ‘politically motivated’ doing in this statement?” on 2013-01-02
• ChristianKl estimated 15% on 2013-01-07
• RandomThinker said “@jayson +1” on 2013-01-13
• Tuxedage said “Jayson: An action committed with the intent to change public policy, rather than for personal reasons like vengeance or love.” on 2013-01-13
• Tuxedage changed their prediction from “A political motivated terrorist attack will occur in 2013 in the United States, causing at least 3 deaths.” on 2013-01-13
• PseudonymousUser said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boston_Marathon_bombings#Motives_and_backgrounds” on 2013-12-31
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/28/dzohkhar-tsarnaev-internet-indictment_n_3515432.html” on 2013-12-31
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/boston-bombing-suspect-cites-us-wars-as-motivation-officials-say/2013/04/23/324b9cea-ac29-11e2-b6fd-ba6f5f26d70e_story.html?hpid=z1” on 2013-12-31
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.