S&P 500 at end of 2013 is 1560 or higher

Created by mwengler on 2013-01-01; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by Qiaochu on 2014-01-02.

• mwengler estimated 35% on 2013-01-01
• mwengler estimated 75% on 2013-01-01
• Tuxedage estimated 70% on 2013-01-01
• Qiaochu estimated 80% and said “Seems to have been climbing pretty steadily since early 2009. ” on 2013-01-02
• simplicio estimated 70% on 2013-01-02
• Qiaochu   judged this prediction right on 2014-01-02.
• Qiaochu said “1848.36” on 2014-01-02