The spot price of silver will be $50/troy oz. or more at some point before December 31, 2013.

Created by dakyne on 2013-01-01; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-01-02.

• dakyne estimated 60% on 2013-01-01
• Qiaochu estimated 20% and said “Doesn’t seem all that likely based on http://www.monex.com/prods/silver_chart.html but meh, who knows. ” on 2013-01-02
• Tuxedage estimated 23% on 2013-01-02
• Jotto999 estimated 40% and said “I’m not confident either way as this will depend on lots of unknown factors.” on 2013-01-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2013-07-07
• dakyne estimated 0% and said “Price suppression of paper prices kept silver low. That should change when the physical supplies dry up.” on 2014-01-01
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-02.