The comet Ison will not be brighter than the full moon.

Created by dhoe on 2013-01-02; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by dhoe on 2014-01-01.

• dhoe estimated 80% on 2013-01-02
• simplicio estimated 40% on 2013-01-02
• Tuxedage estimated 60% on 2013-01-02
• dhoe   judged this prediction right on 2014-01-01.