My subjectively objective risk for one or more cancer types will triple as a result of analyzing my WGS results over the next 4 months.

Created by Porejide on 2015-09-15; known on 2016-01-16; judged wrong by Porejide on 2017-09-19.

• Porejide estimated 10% on 2015-09-15
• Porejide said “subjectively objective is a Jaynes term; also see http://lesswrong.com/lw/s6/probability_is_subjectively_objective/” on 2015-09-15
• Porejide changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-15” and changed their prediction from “My subjectively objective risk for one or more cancer types will triple as a result of analyzing my WGS results.” on 2015-09-15
• Porejide said “edit because this is must be based on knowledge we will have over the next 4 months, not knowledge of associations that we will eventually discover, which will likely be way better. ” on 2015-09-15
• Porejide   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-09-19.