Teleportation to be developed before 2050

Created by btrettel on 2015-09-20; known on 2050-01-01

• btrettel estimated 1% on 2015-09-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 11% on 2015-09-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% and said “Typo” on 2015-09-20
• Josh Holland estimated 1% and said “This probably needs a stricter definition of “teleportation”. Are we talking particles or people?” on 2015-09-22
• btrettel said “For the purpose of this goal, transportation of any macroscopic (i.e., visible to a naked eye with 20/20 vision) object counts.” on 2015-09-23
• btrettel said “Let’s count both the cases where the original matter is destroyed and the object is remade from different matter on the other side and where the original matter is transported directly. And if there are other possibilities, they count too.” on 2015-09-23
• tstelzig said “How high does the fidelity of the copying have to be? ” on 2015-09-30
• btrettel said “Excellent question. Let’s say “molecular level” (however defined) resolution.” on 2015-10-01
• btrettel said “ I’m not thinking of a device which scans an object, destroys it, and then 3D prints a “duplicate” elsewhere. The resolution for 3D printing is far too poor, and the selection of materials is also quite limited.” on 2015-10-01
• btrettel said “I think the device will need to reproduce arbitrary materials at basically full resolution.” on 2015-10-01
• Medea estimated 4% on 2015-10-08
• themusicgod1 estimated 45% on 2016-07-09
• CaelumCodicem estimated 1% on 2019-11-06