Faster-than-light travel developed before 2050

Created by btrettel on 2015-09-21; known on 2050-01-01

• btrettel estimated 1% on 2015-09-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% and said “Note that I am assuming faster than light in a vacuum (otherwise I can walk faster than we’ve been able to slow down light to in some substances). I assign a much higher probability to this than for the time travel one. ” on 2015-09-21
• JoshuaZ said “Also interpreting as faster than light travel, so FTL communication doesn’t count. ” on 2015-09-21
• btrettel said “Yes, in vacuum. I made a separate prediction for communication too: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/145269” on 2015-09-22
• Josh Holland estimated 0% on 2015-09-22
• Josh Holland estimated 1% on 2015-09-22
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% on 2015-09-24
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% on 2015-09-24
• supinf estimated 0% on 2015-09-26
• NathanMcKnight said “Are we talking travel for humans, macro objects, or just FTL transportation for any matter whatsoever? ” on 2015-09-29
• Medea estimated 1% on 2015-10-08
• btrettel said “NathanMcKnight, let’s say for any macroscopic object. I’m not exactly sure what a good precise definition of “macroscopic” is, though.” on 2016-04-18
• themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-04-18
• CaelumCodicem estimated 1% on 2019-11-06
• n99 estimated 1% on 2022-10-28