Lincoln will win the Oscar for Best Picture.

Created by Peter Hurford on 2013-01-10; known on 2013-02-24; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2013-02-25.

• Peter Hurford estimated 60% on 2013-01-10
• Qiaochu estimated 75% on 2013-01-11
• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-01-11
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 45% on 2013-01-17
• Michael Dickens estimated 40% on 2013-01-21
• simplicio estimated 20% on 2013-02-21
• Qiaochu estimated 15% on 2013-02-25
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-02-25.