Somebody will run a World Record at the 2015 Berlin Marathon (as has happened 3 of the last 4, and 5 of the last 8 years).

Created by tstelzig on 2015-09-26; known on 2015-09-27; judged wrong by tstelzig on 2015-09-30.

• tstelzig estimated 25% on 2015-09-26
• WilliamKiely estimated 20% on 2015-09-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-09-26
• EloiseRosen estimated 50% on 2015-09-28
• tstelzig   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-09-30.