Conditional on Germany proceeding with nuclear phaseout, coal will account for a larger share of generation (in TWh/yr terms) in 2015 than it did in 2012.

Created by simplicio on 2013-01-18; known on 2016-02-01; judged wrong by alecbrooks on 2016-08-13.

• simplicio estimated 80% on 2013-01-18
• alecbrooks estimated 70% and said “Where are you planning on getting the numbers from?” on 2013-02-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2013-02-12
• darrrrrr estimated 90% on 2016-01-21
• alecbrooks said “It looks like coal and nuclear generation declined between 2013 and 2015: https://www.destatis.de/EN/FactsFigures/EconomicSectors/Energy/Production/Tables/GrossElectricityProduction.html.” on 2016-08-13
• alecbrooks said “Older version of page with data from 2012 to 2014: http://wayback.archive.org/web/20150319094826/https://www.destatis.de/EN/FactsFigures/EconomicSectors/Energy/Production/Tables/GrossElectricityProduction.html” on 2016-08-13
• alecbrooks said “Similar values: https://www.cleanenergywire.org/sites/default/files/styles/lightbox_image/public/images/factsheet/power-mix-factsheet-2-neu.png?itok=Zj_yHrEp.. (Admittedly, this chart comes from a clean energy group.)” on 2016-08-13
• alecbrooks   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-08-13.