Israeli election: The new government's coalition will include Likud/Yisrael Beiteinu.

Created by ygert on 2013-01-24; known on 2013-03-20; judged right by ygert on 2013-03-20.

• ygert estimated 98% on 2013-01-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 88% on 2013-01-25
• ygert estimated 91% and said “Adjusting down, as I think I overestimated the probability of the party with the plurality of seats being the one to form the government. It still is almost certain to happen, but it is not quite as sure a thing as I originally thought.” on 2013-01-30
• moridinamael estimated 50% on 2013-02-06
• Leo estimated 85% on 2013-02-06
• ygert   judged this prediction right on 2013-03-20.