Maldives will not have the same president or vice president at the end of 3/2016 as it has now (Yameen, Adeep).

Created by kuudes on 2015-10-06; known on 2016-03-31; judged right by kuudes on 2015-11-06.

• kuudes estimated 51% on 2015-10-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-10-06
• Josh Holland estimated 65% on 2015-10-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://www.seychellesnewsagency.com/articles/3791/Maldives+president+escapes+boat+blast+unhurt” on 2015-10-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “Maldive’s president was almost assasinated.” on 2015-10-07
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 95% and said “http://www.ijet.com/content/opposition-protests-maldives” on 2015-10-07
• kuudes estimated 70% and said “Updating per consensus.” on 2015-10-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% and said “Reducing probability. Things seem to have calmed down slightly. ” on 2015-11-01
• kuudes said “http://in.reuters.com/article/2015/10/24/maldives-politics-idINKCN0SI05520151024 “Maldives vice president arrested in probe of explosion targeting president”” on 2015-11-01
• kuudes said “http://maldivesindependent.com/politics/adeeb-formally-notified-of-impeachment-vote-119084 “The ruling party (PPM) has collected 52 signatures on the impeachment motion. – - The vote will be held in the second week of November.”” on 2015-11-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “Well, I updated badly. ” on 2015-11-01
• kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2015-11-06.
• kuudes said “http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/05/us-maldives-emergency-idUSKCN0SU10520151105 “Maldives impeaches vice president as emergency law deepens crackdown”” on 2015-11-06