PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Saudi Arabia and Turkey will be invaded by Russian forces before 2017.

Created by Znt on 2015-10-13; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-01.

  • Znt estimated 90% on 2015-10-13
  • mrhazard estimated 40% on 2015-10-13
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “It would take massive forces to be moved there and would be picked up on satellites.on 2015-10-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2015-10-13
  • JoshuaZ said “Turkey is in NATO so this essentially amounts to a World War III prediction. on 2015-10-13
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 1% on 2015-10-13
  • qznc estimated 1% on 2015-10-14
  • Medea estimated 1% on 2015-10-14
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 2% on 2015-10-14
  • Josh Holland estimated 1% on 2015-10-15
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2015-10-15
  • btrettel estimated 1% on 2015-10-18
  • aarongertler estimated 0% on 2015-10-26
  • aarongertler estimated 1% and said “Dang, “0.3%” didn’t go through. Zero is closest to my true credence, but no true forecaster says “zero”, so… one.on 2015-10-26
  • Afforess estimated 0% and said “Not only will this not happen, there are no multiverses where this happens.on 2015-10-26
  • themusicgod1 estimated 8% and said “too soon.on 2016-04-14
  • two2thehead estimated 0% and said “Sponsoring terrorist attacks in Turkey. Sure. An invasion of two countries (one of which is a NATO member). No. Don’t forget the economic problems the Russians have and will be worsened if they do this.on 2016-04-20
  • two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.