No human will land on another planet before 2050 and survive on that planet for at least 5 years.

Created by Hierophant on 2015-10-14; known on 2055-01-01

• Hierophant estimated 85% on 2015-10-14
• Hierophant changed the deadline from “on 2055-01-01” and changed their prediction from “No human will land on another planet with the intent of colonizing it before 2050 and survive in-place for at least 5 years.” on 2015-10-14
• Medea estimated 75% on 2015-10-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-10-14
• JoshuaZ said “Related predictions: 127032, 123520, 2026, 1892, 1522, 1512, 123377, 87577, 121564, 87578 ” on 2015-10-14
• Josh Holland estimated 40% on 2015-10-15
• Josh Holland estimated 70% on 2015-10-15
• coyotespike estimated 20% on 2015-10-16