PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

In the next 3 days, fewer than 4 different users will make top-level comments that introduce new research in this thread: http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/fmy/lw_women_crowdsourced_research_on_cognitive/

Created by John Maxwell IV on 2013-02-11; known on 2013-02-14; judged wrong by John Maxwell IV on 2013-02-14.

  • John Maxwell IV estimated 80% on 2013-02-11
  • John Maxwell IV changed the deadline from “on 2013-02-14” and made the prediction on 2013-02-11
  • John Maxwell IV changed the deadline from “on 2013-02-14on 2013-02-11
  • John Maxwell IV said “This doesn’t look to me like the sort of crowdsourcing that works.on 2013-02-11
  • John Maxwell IV   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-02-14.