Regardless of the outcome of the Dorner manhunt, drones will be praised for their value in said manhunt by at least one news outlet monitored by the Pew Research Center's Project for Excellence in Journalism within one year of today.

Created by halfwaytogallifrey on 2013-02-11; known on 2014-02-11; judged wrong by halfwaytogallifrey on 2014-02-11.

• halfwaytogallifrey estimated 90% on 2013-02-11
• ashrewdmint estimated 50% on 2013-02-11
• halfwaytogallifrey changed their prediction from “Regardless of the outcome of the Dorner manhunt, drones will be praised for their value in said manhunt by at least one news outlet monitored by the the Pew Research Center's Project for Excellence in Journalism within one year of today.” on 2013-02-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-02-11
• jkadlubo estimated 85% and said “It’s like with full-body-scanners. Too much money to say “that was a stupid idea”” on 2014-02-03
• halfwaytogallifrey said “It looks like the coverage of the Dorner case has been dominated by allegations of police misconduct and thus isn’t really a good thing to cite in favor of drones.” on 2014-02-11
• halfwaytogallifrey said “ The closest thing I could find meeting my criteria is this: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joseph-b-kadane/man-and-machine_b_3505532.html” on 2014-02-11
• halfwaytogallifrey said “The Dorner case is cited as part of a setup for a counter-factual in which the assumption is that the use of drones didn’t matter in that case. I’m going to have to judge this one wrong.” on 2014-02-11
• halfwaytogallifrey   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-02-11.