Chuck Hagel will be confirmed as the Secretary of Defense within two weeks of this prediction.

Created by Peter Hurford on 2013-02-11; known on 2013-02-25; judged wrong by Peter Hurford on 2013-02-25.

• Peter Hurford estimated 70% on 2013-02-11
• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-02-12
• RandomThinker said “looks like this one is gonna fizzle” on 2013-02-24
• Peter Hurford   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-02-25.
• RandomThinker said “Wow confirmed today, exactly 1 day too late. http://www.cnn.com/2013/02/26/politics/hagel-battle/?hpt=hp_t1” on 2013-02-26