CIA director John Brennan will resign by 1 Feb 2015

Created by James Babcock on 2015-10-21; known on 2016-02-01; judged wrong by James Babcock on 2016-02-01.

• James Babcock estimated 80% on 2015-10-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 36% on 2015-10-21
• EloiseRosen said “I think you mean 2016.” on 2015-10-22
• EloiseRosen estimated 40% on 2015-10-22
• btrettel estimated 20% on 2015-10-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2015-10-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 25% on 2015-10-23
• argothiel estimated 0% and said “You mean probably 2016?” on 2015-10-28
• PseudonymousUser estimated 17% on 2015-11-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2015-11-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2015-11-29
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2015-12-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2015-12-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2015-12-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2015-12-31
• btrettel estimated 5% on 2016-01-01
• James Babcock   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-02-01.