The next pope will be a white male.

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-02-12; known on 2013-12-31; judged right by simplicio on 2013-03-13.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-02-12
• RandomThinker said “Male is guaranteed, but there are a lot of black candidates.” on 2013-02-12
• simplicio estimated 55% on 2013-02-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 61% on 2013-02-13
• Tuxedage estimated 90% on 2013-02-13
• Peter Hurford estimated 70% on 2013-02-13
• saturn estimated 75% on 2013-02-13
• army1987 estimated 65% on 2013-02-14
• davidiach estimated 100% on 2013-02-14
• Nic_Smith estimated 85% on 2013-02-15
• Houshalter estimated 50% on 2013-02-15
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2013-02-17
• lavalamp estimated 65% on 2013-02-17
• procran estimated 65% on 2013-02-18
• ChristianKl estimated 80% on 2013-02-18
• Felix estimated 65% on 2013-02-19
• dhoe estimated 90% on 2013-02-20
• simplicio said “Why are some people so confident in this? Turkson is the favourite (against the field, but still). And an African pope would be a great way for the CC to get praised for progress without actually compromising doctrine.” on 2013-02-20
• RandomThinker said “Catholic Church is a conservative organization!” on 2013-02-20
• dusk estimated 70% on 2013-02-21
• drethelin estimated 40% on 2013-02-23
• Qiaochu estimated 65% on 2013-02-25
• Roxolan estimated 65% on 2013-02-25
• Ben Doherty estimated 65% on 2013-02-25
• Digglerson estimated 65% on 2013-02-27
• simplicio   judged this prediction right on 2013-03-13.