USA to begin phase-out of pennies by start of 2016.

Created by simplicio on 2013-02-13; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by btrettel on 2016-01-01.

• simplicio estimated 55% on 2013-02-13
• John Maxwell IV estimated 10% on 2013-02-14
• Tuxedage estimated 25% on 2013-02-14
• Nic_Smith estimated 2% and said “I would be slightly less surprised if half-pennies were reintroduced. (Joking, but only barely)” on 2013-02-15
• Houshalter estimated 25% on 2013-02-15
• RandomThinker estimated 25% on 2013-02-16
• RobertLumley estimated 5% on 2013-02-16
• alanog estimated 10% on 2013-02-17
• ChristianKl estimated 7% on 2013-02-18
• dusk estimated 30% on 2013-02-21
• Qiaochu estimated 10% and said “Recent events make this more likely but my priors are still low. ” on 2013-02-26
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% on 2013-02-26
• alecbrooks estimated 10% on 2013-03-13
• Jenson estimated 25% on 2013-03-23
• Isaac estimated 30% on 2013-05-09
• ygert estimated 5% on 2013-06-17
• Ken estimated 5% on 2013-06-17
• rebellionkid estimated 5% on 2014-06-12
• Ham Nox estimated 7% on 2014-06-12
• adbge estimated 10% on 2014-06-12
• Andrew MacFie estimated 10% on 2014-06-29
• PseudonymousUser said ““The U.S. Mint lost $55 million producing pennies in 2013, when the coin cost 1.83 cents to manufacture. This year a penny is expected to cost only 1.6 cents because of savings elsewhere in the process, a spokesman said.” WSJ” on 2014-10-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2014-10-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% and said “I wish, but not going to happen. ” on 2015-04-12
• orthonormal estimated 5% on 2015-04-29
• btrettel estimated 1% on 2015-04-29
• Andrew MacFie estimated 7% on 2015-05-27
• Unknowns estimated 1% on 2015-05-28
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2015-09-01
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2015-09-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2015-12-31
• btrettel   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.