Oscar Pistorius to be convicted of murder of Reeva Steenkamp.

Created by simplicio on 2013-02-15; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by procran on 2014-01-20.

• simplicio estimated 65% on 2013-02-15
• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-02-20
• dhoe estimated 90% on 2013-02-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2013-02-20
• Qiaochu estimated 60% on 2013-02-20
• dusk estimated 70% and said “(prior to any appeals)” on 2013-02-21
• Felix estimated 70% on 2013-02-21
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2013-02-26
• procran estimated 70% on 2013-02-28
• procran   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-20.
• procran said “Marking as wrong, since the conviction did not occur by the specified date.” on 2014-01-20