Zhongguo will be a high income country by 2022
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-28; known on 2022-12-12; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-12-18.
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% on 2015-10-28
- JoshuaZ said “Defined how? ” on 2015-10-28
- Raahul_Kumar said “As of 1 July 2014, high income economies are defined as those with a GNI per capita, calculated using the World Bank Atlas method with a GNI per capita of $12,746 or more. http://data.worldbank.org/news/2015-country-classifications” on 2015-10-28
- Raahul_Kumar said “Data source will be the World Bank. IMF, OECD, and other such official sources are also acceptable.” on 2015-10-28
- JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2015-10-28
- Raahul_Kumar said “In 2005, the WB recorded. it as 5,020. By 2014, 13,130.A doubling in 9 years. A second such doubling will put Zhongguo at 26,260 by 2023.http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.PP.CD?page=2” on 2015-10-28
- timujin said “Why are you calling countries NOT in English?” on 2015-10-28
- PseudonymousUser estimated 70% and said “^He’s rather eccentric.” on 2015-11-01
- PseudonymousUser said “Not a bad thing.” on 2015-11-01
- PseudonymousUser said “Raahul, by your own source, it seems China’s 2014 GNI Per Capita was $13,130, which is above your cutoff. Was this intentional?” on 2015-11-01
- Raahul_Kumar said “I linked the wrong one using current international $.I should have linked this one, the GNI per capita Atlas method(current US$). WB in 2014 says 7,380.http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD/countries” on 2015-11-02
- Raahul_Kumar said “WB shows per capita income tripled from 2007-2014 from 2,673.3 to 7,593.9. If they repeated that performance, Zhongguo will be a 22,500 economy by this date instead.” on 2015-11-02
- PseudonymousUser estimated 75% and said “I see, thanks Raahul.” on 2015-11-14
- PseudonymousUser estimated 88% on 2016-01-01
- Raahul_Kumar said “Real per capita income in 2015 grew by 7.4%. by 2022, 5,559.64.http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/201601/t20160119_1306072.html” on 2016-02-16
- n99 estimated 36% and said “Not according to the WB Atlas method” on 2022-10-28
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction wrong on 2022-12-18.