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USA to initiate trade sanctions or legal action against China for cyber-espionage by 2016.

Created by simplicio on 2013-02-20; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2016-01-10.

  • simplicio estimated 60% on 2013-02-20
  • RandomThinker said “what does initiate mean? They’ll have big hearings in the House and then it’ll fizzle just like all of these other spats.” on 2013-02-20
  • simplicio said “Good point. If so, then I will judge wrong. Has to actually come into effect or be irreversibly about to come into effect.” on 2013-02-21
  • drethelin estimated 5% and said “I can’t imagine any such actions china takes that the US doesn’t also participate in. It would be like suing Russia in the cold war for employing spies. ” on 2013-02-23
  • RandomThinker estimated 35% and said “@drethelin not suing, but they did make all sorts of unpleasant noises about Russians using spies. ” on 2013-02-24
  • ChristianKl estimated 15% and said “The funny thing about the matter is that it’s the US who’s in against outlawing cyber-espinoage why China is for out-lawing it. ” on 2013-03-19
  • Tuxedage estimated 5% on 2013-03-19
  • hedges estimated 5% on 2013-03-22
  • Jenson estimated 25% on 2013-03-23
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-10.