At least 3 more people in the US will get the bubonic plague by year-end 2016.

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-11-01; known on 2017-01-02; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2015-12-26.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 83% on 2015-11-01
• PseudonymousUser changed the deadline from “on 2017-01-01” and changed their prediction from “At least 5 people in the US will get the bubonic plague in 2016.” on 2015-11-01
• PseudonymousUser said “Prediction covers time between Nov 1 2015 and Dec 31 2016.” on 2015-11-01
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/31/us/bubonic-plague-oregon.html” on 2015-11-01
• PseudonymousUser changed the deadline from “on 2017-01-01” and changed their prediction from “At least 5 more people in the US will get the bubonic plague by year-end 2016.” on 2015-11-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 71% on 2015-11-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 72% on 2015-11-01
• Medea estimated 75% on 2015-11-01
• danielfilan estimated 85% on 2015-11-02
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “According to the CDC the median is 7.http://www.cdc.gov/plague/maps/” on 2015-11-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “Bubonic plague reported in Michigan, 14 cases reported nationwidehttp://fox6now.com/2015/09/14/bubonic-plague-reported-in-michigan-14-cases-reported-nationwide/” on 2015-12-19
• Raahul_Kumar said “ 86412382Oregon girl, 16, diagnosed with bubonic plague after hunting triphttp://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2015/10/30/oregon-girl-16-diagnosed-bubonic-plague-after-hunting-trip/74852822/” on 2015-12-19
• Raahul_Kumar said “ince April 1, 2015, a total of 11 cases of human plague http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm6433a6.htm” on 2015-12-19
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction right on 2015-12-19.
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-12-26.
• PseudonymousUser said “I posted above: Prediction covers time between Nov 1 2015 and Dec 31 2016” on 2015-12-26
• PseudonymousUser said “I actually wrote the prediction because of the second story that you linked to.” on 2015-12-26
• Raahul_Kumar said “sorry Tape, will search more carefully with Google in date range.” on 2015-12-29
• themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2017-01-03