Scott Adams – I predict Trump gets at least 65% of the votes in the general election.
Created by halfwit on 2015-11-03; known on 2016-11-09; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.
- halfwit estimated 18% on 2015-11-03
- halfwit estimated 8% on 2015-11-03
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Women and Hispanics constitute more than 50% of the population.http://www.people-press.org/2015/04/07/a-deep-dive-into-party-affiliation/” on 2015-11-03
- Raahul_Kumar said “Trump won’t even win nomination.” on 2015-11-03
- EloiseRosen estimated 1% on 2015-11-04
- JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “One of the rare situations I will agree with Raahul assigning 0. No candidate has gotten that high a percentage in pop vote in 50 years, and this is a highly controversial candidate, and it is doubtful hell win the nomination. ” on 2015-11-04
- Medea estimated 1% on 2015-11-04
- btrettel estimated 0% on 2015-11-04
- danielfilan said “Is this meant to be a prediction of Trump’s vote share conditioning on his winning the nomination, or a prediction that he will win the nomination and also have a >65% vote share?” on 2015-11-05
- JoshuaZ said “Given that Adams claimed earlier that Trump will “definitely” win the nomination, I think the second. ” on 2015-11-05
- ChristianKl estimated 0% on 2015-11-06
- aarongertler estimated 0% and said “Winning is one thing, 65% of the popular vote is a very different thing. Neither thing is likely.” on 2015-11-09
- qznc estimated 5% on 2015-11-11
- Josh Holland estimated 1% on 2015-11-16
- Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2015-11-17
- Andrew MacFie said “Stupid prediction” on 2015-11-17
- JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-12-23
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-22
- themusicgod1 estimated 45% on 2016-04-15
- NathanMcKnight estimated 1% on 2016-07-19
- elephantower estimated 3% on 2016-07-20
- btrettel estimated 1% on 2016-08-23
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-08-23
- two2thehead estimated 0% on 2016-11-03
- themusicgod1 said “not even 50% http://53eig.ht/2fCOZRm” on 2016-11-09
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.