The list of top charities that GiveWell will release next will include a charity that is not currently listed.

Created by danielfilan on 2015-11-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by danielfilan on 2015-11-20.

• danielfilan estimated 20% on 2015-11-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2015-11-05
• danielfilan said “To clarify: I mean that one of the new top charities will be a charity that is not a top charity now.” on 2015-11-05
• EloiseRosen estimated 20% on 2015-11-05
• aarongertler estimated 35% and said “Going in without a lot of recent reading. Still, there have been enough surprises in the past few years that I wouldn’t be too surprised if a new charity got the nod.” on 2015-11-09
• Josh Holland estimated 25% on 2015-11-09
• danielfilan said “http://blog.givewell.org/2015/11/18/our-updated-top-charities-for-giving-season-2015/” on 2015-11-20
• danielfilan   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-11-20.