The price of bitcoins meets or exceeds $50 within the next 30 days.
Created by tedks on 2013-03-06; known on 2013-04-05; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2013-03-19.
- tedks estimated 65% on 2013-03-06
- tedks changed the deadline from “on 2013-04-05” and made the prediction on 2013-03-06
- tedks estimated 50% on 2013-03-07
- Emanuel Rylke estimated 65% and said “same as both times before :)” on 2013-03-07
- tedks estimated 40% and said “Why would the probability of each rise be equivalent?” on 2013-03-07
- Emanuel Rylke said “No particular reason, 65% felt right each time.” on 2013-03-07
- tedks estimated 50% on 2013-03-09
- lavalamp estimated 60% on 2013-03-11
- ledzep6551 estimated 50% on 2013-03-11
- Qiaochu said “Where? ” on 2013-03-13
- Emanuel Rylke said “i assume mtgox, like in the previous predictions.” on 2013-03-13
- Ben Doherty estimated 55% and said “cyprus might move some people’s holdings over to non sovereign holdings ” on 2013-03-16
- PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2013-03-17
- PseudonymousUser said “https://mtgox.com/ Last price $51.99” on 2013-03-19
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction right on 2013-03-19.