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The price of bitcoins meets or exceeds $50 within the next 30 days.

Created by tedks on 2013-03-06; known on 2013-04-05; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2013-03-19.

  • tedks estimated 65% on 2013-03-06
  • tedks changed the deadline from “on 2013-04-05” and made the prediction on 2013-03-06
  • tedks estimated 50% on 2013-03-07
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 65% and said “same as both times before :)on 2013-03-07
  • tedks estimated 40% and said “Why would the probability of each rise be equivalent?on 2013-03-07
  • Emanuel Rylke said “No particular reason, 65% felt right each time.on 2013-03-07
  • tedks estimated 50% on 2013-03-09
  • lavalamp estimated 60% on 2013-03-11
  • ledzep6551 estimated 50% on 2013-03-11
  • Qiaochu said “Where? on 2013-03-13
  • Emanuel Rylke said “i assume mtgox, like in the previous predictions.on 2013-03-13
  • Ben Doherty estimated 55% and said “cyprus might move some people’s holdings over to non sovereign holdings on 2013-03-16
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2013-03-17
  • PseudonymousUser said “https://mtgox.com/ Last price $51.99on 2013-03-19
  • PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2013-03-19.