US economy will be in recession by 2017.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-12; known on 2017-12-25; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2017-12-25.

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 70% on 2015-11-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 38% on 2015-11-12
• Medea estimated 35% on 2015-11-12
• hedges estimated 35% on 2015-11-13
• Raahul_Kumar said “National Bureau of Economic Research definition and will be the data source.http://www.nber.org/cycles/main.html” on 2015-11-15
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 30% and said “I assume you mean will have been in a recession at some point by then, not that it will currently be in one at the end of 2017?” on 2015-11-19
• Raahul_Kumar said “By 2017 yes. It could happen any timeframe between now and then. http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/02/why-el-erian-sees-30-us-recession-risk-by-2017.html” on 2015-11-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 66% on 2015-11-30
• Raahul_Kumar said “Majority of economists predict recession in 2018.http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-11/here-s-when-economists-expect-to-see-the-next-u-s-recession” on 2015-12-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “Blackstones predicts 2017.http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-18/blackstone-president-james-sees-potential-u-s-recession-in-2017” on 2015-12-02
• Raahul_Kumar said ““The probability of US recession reaches 65 % next year,” Citi http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/watch-out-for-us-recession-zero-interest-rates-in-china-next-year-citi-says/articleshow/50013575.cms” on 2015-12-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% and said “Probably will happen by late 2016.” on 2016-01-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-07-08
• lwbayes91 estimated 4% and said “1 month away and no sign of recession” on 2017-11-21
• skinnersboxy estimated 10% on 2017-12-20
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-25.