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At least one country leaves the Eurozone before 2018

Created by qznc on 2015-11-12; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

  • qznc estimated 30% on 2015-11-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 36% on 2015-11-12
  • Medea estimated 30% on 2015-11-12
  • danielfilan estimated 30% on 2015-11-13
  • hedges estimated 40% on 2015-11-13
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 30% on 2015-11-14
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “Brexit.” on 2015-11-15
  • PseudonymousUser said “Raahul, you’re 100% sure Britain will exit the EU by 2018? ” on 2015-11-22
  • kuudes said “UK is not part of eurozone.” on 2015-11-22
  • PseudonymousUser said “Ah, of course! Not sure how I missed that.” on 2015-11-27
  • Raahul_Kumar said “As people have pointed out the UK is not actually part of the Eurozone, Catala and Scotland instead then.” on 2015-11-30
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Even if they both apply to join the EU later, that process will take time and permission isn’t guranteed.” on 2015-11-30
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 30% and said “Rahul are you really 100% sure that Catalonia will become independent and spend at least some time off the Euro?” on 2015-12-01
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Pro-independence parties in Catalonia, are pushing ahead with a historic plan for an independent state within 18 months, and the national government in Madrid is fighting back.http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-29478415” on 2015-12-02
  • Raahul_Kumar said “In reply to PP:Yes.” on 2015-12-02
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Austria, Hellas, Spain, Portugal are the likeliest candidates.” on 2015-12-02
  • kuudes said “Scotland would have to gain independence, join eurozone and quit eurozone before 2018, so on average more than 1 of those events per year. Also, why you use Austria instead Österreich but Hellas instead of Greece?” on 2015-12-02
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Umlauts, that’s why. Scotland is currently part of the EU right now, but not the zone. Under Article 49 it will have to leave and then reapply.http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-26173004” on 2015-12-03
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.