There will be five or six newcomers at the next Brussels LessWrong meetup.

Created by Roxolan on 2013-03-12; known on 2013-03-16; judged wrong by Roxolan on 2013-03-16.

• Roxolan estimated 65% on 2013-03-12
• Roxolan estimated 60% on 2013-03-12
• Roxolan said “Uh, I intended to change my guess, not make a second one.” on 2013-03-13
• Qiaochu said “@Roxolan: PredictionBook keeps track of all of your guesses. Only the last one counts for determining your calibration but keeping the rest around is useful as a history of your updating. ” on 2013-03-13
• Roxolan said “I see. The obsolete wagers probably shouldn’t show up on the # of wagers and average confidence for this prediction though.” on 2013-03-14
• Roxolan   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-03-16.