Italy's President (Napolitano) will resign before May 2013

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-03-15; known on 2013-05-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2013-04-22.

• RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-03-15
• Peter Hurford estimated 20% on 2013-03-16
• dhoe estimated 40% on 2013-03-16
• Qiaochu estimated 30% on 2013-03-17
• phreeza estimated 25% on 2013-03-21
• Osuniev estimated 20% on 2013-04-15
• Osuniev estimated 5% on 2013-04-15
• RandomThinker said “Nope he didn’t resign early, although they did have elections just now. He was reelected.” on 2013-04-22
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-04-22.