One of Italy/Spain/Portugal/Germany will leave the EU before 2023

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-03-23; known on 2023-01-01

• RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-03-23
• dhoe estimated 10% on 2013-03-24
• ygert estimated 35% and said “I’m assuming that more than one of those countries leaving also counts. I’m also assuming that this will be marked as correct if the EU dissolves completely.” on 2013-03-24
• ChristianKl estimated 10% and said “Leaving the EU is a much bigger step than just leaving the Euro. ” on 2013-03-30
• phreeza estimated 5% on 2013-05-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-10
• telegrafista estimated 1% on 2019-02-14
• qznc estimated 5% on 2022-01-02