I get the monetary prize from Peter McIntyre for changing his beliefs the most during the EA Australia retreat.

Created by danielfilan on 2015-11-23; known on 2015-12-05; judged wrong by danielfilan on 2015-12-04.

• danielfilan estimated 10% on 2015-11-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2015-11-27
• danielfilan   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-12-04.