The Force Awakens will reveal the Darth Darth Binks theory to be broadly correct.

Created by Calien on 2015-11-25; known on 2015-12-17; judged wrong by danielfilan on 2015-12-26.

• Calien estimated 10% on 2015-11-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 6% on 2015-11-25
• Medea estimated 5% on 2015-11-25
• WilliamKiely estimated 0% and said “Less than 1%… unfortunately.” on 2015-11-26
• danielfilan estimated 3% on 2015-11-26
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2015-11-27
• WilliamKiely said “I am willing to bet you all at your 3-10% odds. Any takers? :-)” on 2015-11-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% and said “Thinking about this more. ” on 2015-11-28
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 1% and said “I don’t suppose we can push the known by date back a bit to avoid spoilers? I guess I can just avoid this site for a bit. Or just not worry because clearly it’s not going to happen…” on 2015-12-01
• HonoreDB estimated 6% on 2015-12-04
• Afforess estimated 3% on 2015-12-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2015-12-10
• danielfilan   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-12-26.
• PseudonymousUser said “^Arg! Spoilers, Daniel!” on 2015-12-26
• danielfilan said “You had plenty of time to watch, and I think it’s fair enough to say that this wasn’t very spoil-y :)” on 2015-12-26