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There will be a computer input device that is faster at text input than a keyboard (average of 1.5x speedup or more), reasonably quiet (not standard text dictation), and does not require the use of the eyes. Used by 20% of software developers.

Created by zpinter on 2013-03-31; known on 2018-03-31; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-04-05.

  • zpinter estimated 20% on 2013-03-31
  • zpinter changed their prediction from “There will be a computer input device that's faster at text input than a keyboard (average of 1.5x speedup or more), reasonably quite (not standard text dictation), and does not require the use of the eyes. It will replace/augment keyboards for at least 2” on 2013-03-31
  • zpinter on 2013-03-31
  • zpinter changed their prediction from “There will be a computer input device that is faster at text input than a keyboard (average of 1.5x speedup or more), reasonably quiet (not standard text dictation), and does not require the use of the eyes. It will replace/augment keyboards for at least” on 2013-03-31
  • Tuxedage estimated 3% on 2013-04-01
  • RandomThinker estimated 15% on 2013-04-03
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 3% on 2013-04-06
  • Osuniev estimated 5% on 2013-04-15
  • a0c4a123f7 estimated 75% and said “I can think of a couple of ways to do it, though whether any will actually be put into practice I can’t say. Judging reasonably quite to mean as quiet as typing in an office I think it’s dramatically more likely than chance.” on 2013-04-15
  • Tuxedage said “a0c; want to elaborate on some ways that would be possible? I can’t think of any.” on 2013-04-16
  • a0c4a123f7 said “I think I’ll sit on them for the time being, Tux. It’s not inconceivable I’ll go and learn how to program at some point and then I’d have given up potential money.” on 2013-04-18
  • Tuxedage said “I see. Understandable.” on 2013-04-18
  • themusicgod1 estimated 43% on 2016-05-22
  • Mike estimated 99% and said “http://www.openstenoproject.org/” on 2016-05-24
  • Reactionaryhistorian estimated 35% on 2016-05-24
  • Reactionaryhistorian estimated 5% on 2016-05-24
  • Athrithalix estimated 1% on 2018-02-23
  • Ben Doherty estimated 5% on 2018-03-21
  • Athrithalix said “Since zpinter hasn’t been active for the last 5 years, I think guess I’ll judge this one.” on 2018-04-05
  • Athrithalix   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-04-05.