North Korea will be in direct military conflict with another nation during this year.

Created by hedges on 2013-04-03; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-01-01.

• hedges estimated 5% on 2013-04-03
• RandomThinker estimated 11% on 2013-04-04
• Tuxedage estimated 20% on 2013-04-04
• Sarokrae estimated 5% on 2013-04-04
• Peter Hurford estimated 2% on 2013-04-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2013-04-08
• ctp estimated 40% on 2013-04-10
• seifip estimated 10% on 2013-04-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2013-11-16
• PseudonymousUser said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Korean_crisis but no conflict” on 2014-01-01
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-01.