Spam comments will routinely outnumber real comments/votes on Predictionbook.com by 2014
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-04-04; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by ygert on 2013-12-31.
- RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-04-04
- RandomThinker said ““unusuable” is defined by more spam comments than real comments on an average day” on 2013-04-04
- Tuxedage estimated 5% on 2013-04-05
- RandomThinker said “We’re well on our way. As of today (4/5/2013), 18 spam comments on front page, 6 real comments/votes.” on 2013-04-05
- RandomThinker said “The weird thing about the spam on here is they don’t link to anything. Just inane random comment. Why is that?” on 2013-04-05
- Peter Hurford said “1.) Do we have a way to remove or combat spam? That would be helpful.2.) Your definition of “unusable” seems rather unintuitive to me.” on 2013-04-06
- RandomThinker changed their prediction from “Predictionbook.com will rendered unusable due to spam comments by 2014” on 2013-04-06
- RandomThinker said “@peter I changed the wording” on 2013-04-06
- RandomThinker said “I’ll check in at least once a day as of Jan-1-2014 and calculate the # of spam v. real on the “Recently Responses” section” on 2013-04-06
- RandomThinker said “@ Peter I don’t know, but there isn’t too much dev work being done on this site anymore. Curiously, the more traffic we generate, the better we make the site, the more we attract spammers. So it’s an interesting race.” on 2013-04-06
- RandomThinker said “On the metric, I mean I will check in once a day for the first week, so 7 samples around Jan 1 2014, and post my measurements here on the comment thread.” on 2013-04-06
- JoshuaZ said “It could be solved if they just gave more mod abilities to people. ” on 2013-04-08
- RandomThinker said “Yea we’ll see if this actually does become a problem, and whether anyone can do anything about it.” on 2013-04-08
- RandomThinker said “Feel free to give us your prediction on this though Joshua!” on 2013-04-08
- RandomThinker said “Make this truly a self-aware site.” on 2013-04-08
- qap estimated 10% on 2013-04-11
- RandomThinker said “Good news! A whole day without a spam comment… it’ll be a continuing battle I’m guessing.” on 2013-04-16
- hedges estimated 60% on 2013-04-17
- Roxolan estimated 40% on 2013-04-25
- ygert judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.