Facebook front page will have less than 10% market share of Android phones by Jan 1 2014

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-04-06; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by phreeza on 2014-03-13.

• RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-04-06
• RandomThinker said “No idea what the base rate is here, but I don’t see it as a big success.” on 2013-04-06
• a0c4a123f7 said “Do you mean Facebook Home; their new android mobile interface?” on 2013-04-16
• a0c4a123f7 estimated 10% and said “Assuming in line with the above – 10% of the mobile market is huge. Windows Phone has ~3%, as does Blackberry – and they’re the next biggest compared to ios and Android” on 2013-04-18
• a0c4a123f7 estimated 90% and said “Oh, right – less than” on 2013-04-18
• phreeza estimated 95% on 2013-05-08
• phreeza said “I don’t have a source but it seems pretty obvious this was true.” on 2014-03-13
• phreeza   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-13.