War between North and South Korea breaks out by Jan 1, 2016

Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-31.

• themusicgod1 estimated 0% on 2015-12-11
• Medea estimated 2% on 2015-12-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2015-12-11
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “< 0.05 % ” on 2015-12-11
• kuudes said “Technically, they are currently at war with only temporary ceasefire, so I am uncertain how this will be judged?” on 2015-12-17
• JoshuaZ said “I presume something with a lot more shooting such that everyone refers to it as a war? That’s at least how I interpreted it. ” on 2015-12-18
• themusicgod1 said “@Kuudes that is correct, afaik they are in a state of war but I was thinking something bigger and should have probably clarified. At least 1 missile landing in Seoul or equivalent damage to north/south korea followed by either immediate peace talks” on 2015-12-18
• themusicgod1 estimated 0% and said “or over 1000 casualties would suffice” on 2015-12-18
• themusicgod1 estimated 0% on 2015-12-18
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% on 2015-12-20
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-12-31.
• themusicgod1 said “jan 1 in korea” on 2015-12-31