US Federal Reserve stuck near the 0 bound (say, <1.5% with no willingness to increase it further in the immediate future) by Jan 1, 2016 (see http://www.global-rates.com/interest-rates/central-banks/central-bank-america/fed-interest-rate.aspx )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-31.

• themusicgod1 estimated 99% on 2015-12-11
• Raahul_Kumar said “The Fed Reserve has stated 4 quarter point increases in 2016.http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-16/fed-ends-zero-rate-era-signals-4-quarter-point-2016-increases” on 2015-12-26
• Raahul_Kumar said ““No willingness to increase it further” is wrong.” on 2015-12-26
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://www.forbes.com/sites/billconerly/2015/12/16/interest-rate-forecast-2016-2017-fed-tightens-for-two-more-years/” on 2015-12-26
• Raahul_Kumar said “Two years from now, at the end of 2017, the Fed Funds rate will sit at 3.25 percent” on 2015-12-26
• Raahul_Kumar said “That is more than double the predicted 1.5%.” on 2015-12-26
• themusicgod1 said “I’ll accept that.” on 2015-12-31
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-12-31.