Global thermonuclear war, worldwide by Jan 1, 2016

Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-01.

• themusicgod1 estimated 1% on 2015-12-11
• Medea estimated 0% on 2015-12-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2015-12-11
• kuudes estimated 0% on 2015-12-11
• tstelzig estimated 0% on 2015-12-14
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% on 2015-12-20
• Raahul_Kumar said “If it happened, wouldn’t most people be dead though?” on 2015-12-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “^It runs into Pascal’s wager, yes. But it’s still very unlikely.” on 2015-12-20
• Raahul_Kumar said “I’m just pointing out that no one will be alive in the unlikely event that it came true. Would computers even work after EMP wiped out the power? And I defy anyone to correctly calculate the odds of thermonuclear war. On what basis?” on 2015-12-20
• themusicgod1 said “Mechanical computers not affected by the blast will still work, if there’s anyone left alive to run them. Doesn’t everyone have a 3d printed analytical engine? ;)” on 2015-12-31
• Raahul_Kumar said “Posted from my mechanical Babbage. Still alive, evidence good that world didn’t perish from thermonuclear war this year.” on 2016-01-01
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.