more people globally will have cellphones than household electricity in 2015

Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2017-01-08; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-14.

  • themusicgod1 estimated 69% on 2015-12-11
  • themusicgod1 changed the deadline from “on 2017-01-08” and changed their prediction from “more people globally will have cellphones than household electricity” on 2015-12-11
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Can you define sources for both % of electricity and mobile phones?on 2015-12-13
  • themusicgod1 said “looking pretty good: 1.1 billion missing electricity, as of 2013 there was a 1:1 parity of people to cellphones (just a question of the gini coefficient of cellphone ownership at this point)on 2016-01-13
  • themusicgod1 said “As far as defining sources: I have been looking for sources since I posted this, I will keep y’all updated as I find information regarding this claimon 2016-01-13
  • themusicgod1 said “Not the best source, but I’ll take it unless someone can define a better one. 4.5-4.6B phones: out of 7.2-7.3B people. Combine this with the above link and this prediction is false.on 2016-03-14
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-14.

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