AfD will stay under 5% at the German federal elections

Created by dhoe on 2013-04-16; known on 2013-09-30; judged right by phreeza on 2013-09-23.

• dhoe estimated 80% on 2013-04-16
• ctp estimated 70% on 2013-04-24
• phreeza estimated 90% on 2013-07-04
• mfb estimated 80% on 2013-07-15
• phreeza   judged this prediction right on 2013-09-23.