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Elizabeth Colbert Busch (D) defeats Mark Sanford® in the upcoming SC-1 election.

Created by Peter Hurford on 2013-04-18; known on 2013-05-02; judged wrong by Peter Hurford on 2013-05-08.

  • Peter Hurford estimated 55% on 2013-04-18
  • JoshuaZ estimated 61% on 2013-04-18
  • RandomThinker estimated 45% and said “No idea. But I’m betting against the celebrity.” on 2013-04-18
  • andrevan estimated 66% on 2013-04-27
  • andrevan said “Hiking the Appalachian Trail will be an issue in this election. Elizabeth Colbert Busch isn’t a celebrity – her brother is.” on 2013-04-27
  • Peter Hurford said “This actually won’t be known until 7 or 8 May.” on 2013-05-02
  • Peter Hurford   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-05-08.