Brasil will be ranked at least 8th in the medal tally table, with 27 medals overall.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-18; known on 2016-08-22; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-08-22.

  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 80% on 2015-12-18
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Host effect: Average nation that is hosting the Olympic increases its medal tally by 50%. 2015-12-18
  • PlacidPlatypus said “This seems poorly worded. For one thing it seems like two separate predictions; is it 8th AND 27 medals or 8th OR 27 medals, or is the 27 medals completely unrelated to the prediction? Also is it exactly 27, or at least 27, or what?on 2015-12-28
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Ranked 8th and 27 medals. At least 27.on 2015-12-29
  • themusicgod1 estimated 43% and said “27 medals exactly? Unlikely.on 2016-06-20
  • Bruno Parga estimated 1% and said “The medal table is ranked by gold medals won, not total. Brazil averaged 2.8 gold medals in the past 5 Olympics; even a growth of more than 50% (to 5 medals) wouldn’t typically land the country within the top 8. on 2016-08-13
  • Bruno Parga said “In fact, even though only 42% of all gold medals have already been won, Brazil can only reach the top 8 with 5 medals if nobody wins any gold medals besides the current top 7 (USA, CHN, GBR, GER, JPN, AUS, KOR).on 2016-08-13
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-08-22.
  • Bruno Parga said “Brazil finished 13th, with 19 medals overall.on 2016-08-22

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