The Spanish government that is produced by the Spanish general elections 2015 has at least 2 parties.
Created by kuudes on 2015-12-18; known on 2016-01-31; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-03-02.
- kuudes estimated 70% on 2015-12-18
- kuudes said “also also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176390 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176391 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176393” on 2015-12-18
- JoshuaZ estimated 72% on 2015-12-18
- darrrrrr estimated 80% on 2016-01-21
- kuudes said “I am tending to rule both this and its implied complement false as it seems the government will not be formed within reasonable time from the end of prediction. Input?” on 2016-02-07
- kuudes judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-02.
- kuudes said “Over the judgement period, should have judged this already. If new evidence, feel free to reverse judgement. sorry. :-/” on 2016-03-02
- kuudes said “both this and supposed complement were wrong, new elections in June 2016 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_general_election,_2016” on 2016-04-26