The next candidate to drop out of the Republican primary will be one of Santorum, Gilmore, Pataki, or Huckabee.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-12-22; known on 2016-01-25; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-12-30.

• JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2015-12-22
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “George Pataki drops out of US presidential racehttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/50375103.cms” on 2015-12-30
• Raahul_Kumar said “What happens if 2 or more candidates drop out? Maybe reword to say at least one.” on 2015-12-30
• JoshuaZ said “I’m not sure why you marked this as 100% instead of just marking it correct. What did that accomplish? ” on 2015-12-30
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2015-12-30.
• Raahul_Kumar said “You have 26 days left in the prediction, and not sure what happened if all of them dropped out of the race.” on 2015-12-30
• JoshuaZ said “Did you read the prediction? The prediction was “the next candidate”, as in the in order of those who drop out, one of the listed will drop out before any of the others currently going. It makes no difference if any other drops later. ” on 2015-12-30
• Raahul_Kumar said “You’ve provided a 27 day window for the prediction, which means multiple candidates could drop between now and then.” on 2015-12-30
• PseudonymousUser said “Yes, and since Pataki was the first republican candidate to drop out in this time frame, the prediction is correct.” on 2015-12-31