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By the end of 2020, more than half of the babies born that year are going to be genomically sequenced as soon as they're born.

Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-25; known in 21 days

  • themusicgod1 estimated 13% on 2015-12-25
  • JoshuaZ said “Worldwide or in a specific country? on 2015-12-25
  • kuudes said “second for JoshuaZ clarification request. Didn’t Iceland already sequence the whole population?on 2015-12-25
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Cost per genome is around $1 000 USD. 2015-12-26
  • Raahul_Kumar said “ 2015-12-26
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “If you look the world per capita income, $1 000 is a considerable chunk of their yearly income for the majority of the world’s population. on 2015-12-26
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 2% and said “I am assuming that this prediction applies worldwide.on 2015-12-27
  • PseudonymousUser said “Also, the “known on” date should be 2021-01-01, right?on 2015-12-27
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 1% and said “I doubt the statistics would be available immediately the day after the year ends, although three years might be a little excessive.on 2015-12-28
  • Raahul_Kumar said “I suggest editing the prediction to say OECD countries, that might actually happen.on 2015-12-29
  • PseudonymousUser said “@PlacidPlatypus, Good point.on 2016-01-02
  • b5mith estimated 5% on 2016-01-02
  • Afforess estimated 0% on 2016-01-07
  • themusicgod1 estimated 13% and said “Attempt 3: Yes worldwideI expect there to be issues in collecting this data by then, so I gave myself lots of time.on 2016-01-10
  • themusicgod1 estimated 11% and said “I’m starting to agree with Raahul.on 2016-03-12
  • Afforess said “Genome sequencing has not taken off – this still looks broadly incorrect.on 2017-08-07
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2020-03-14
  • NickN estimated 0% on 2020-08-19

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