2016 predictions: At the end of the year AMF will still be a GiveWell recommended charity.
Created by EloiseRosen on 2016-01-01; known on 2016-12-31; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-29.
- EloiseRosen estimated 85% on 2016-01-01
- jessriedel estimated 90% and said “Predict 70% that it’s the top charity.” on 2016-01-02
- Vipul Naik estimated 92% and said “Recent conversations with the Global Fund strongly suggest this.” on 2016-11-24
- Vipul Naik judged this prediction right on 2016-11-29.