Brazil's GDP will be above its 2014 level in 2018.

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-01-02; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-28.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 78% on 2016-01-02
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21684778-former-star-emerging-world-faces-lost-decade-irredeemable” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “Brasil was in USD, current prices 2,613.1 in 2011. In 2015 it is 1,799. Are you talking about USD current prices or PPP?In PPP terms Brasil has only decreased by a little, 3,207 in 2015 vs 3,275 in 2014. ” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://knoema.com/tbocwag/gdp-by-country-1980-2015?subject=Current%20int.%24&country=Brazil” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “In PPP terms Brasil has increased steadily, so 95% chances. In USD curent prices, the graph is more erratic. 75% chance” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 75% on 2016-01-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 82% on 2016-01-02
• PseudonymousUser said “I was intending to go with USD. PPP has some flaws, and besides that, I don’t think that the dollar will be rising enough to change the outcome.” on 2016-01-04
• PseudonymousUser said “Data source will be the World Bank; I’m referring to “GDP at market prices (current US$)” in this link: http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=2&country=BRA&series=&period==” on 2016-01-04
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 83% and said “OK looking at the data 2011,2012 and 2013 were all higher than 2014. Revising probability upwards.” on 2016-01-04
• jesseh estimated 30% on 2016-11-10
• Bruno Parga said “As per Tapetum-Lucidum’s source: 2014 $2.455tn; 2018 $1.868tn” on 2019-12-28
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-12-28.